- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 27?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 27?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 27?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 27?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 27?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Warsaw on August 27 indicate a mostly clear day under high pressure, with light easterly to southeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 24–26 °C. Multiple models converge on this narrow range due to stable atmospheric conditions and modest advection of continental air, creating uncertainty around exact peak timing and boundary-layer mixing that separates 24 °C from 25 °C outcomes. Trader consensus, reflected in the closely matched 41–43.5 % probabilities, mirrors this scientific ambiguity in official guidance and ensemble runs, with lower odds on 23 °C or 26 °C highlighting the limited upside or downside potential before resolution.