Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 19?
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C or below on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 19?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on August 19?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 19?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on August 19?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 19?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 19?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on August 19?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent European meteorological model consensus points to mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers over Warsaw on August 19, limiting solar heating and holding the daily maximum near 20–22°C. This pattern aligns with current surface observations and short-range guidance showing modest instability and light winds that prevent stronger daytime warming, consistent with late-summer climatology when Atlantic influences often moderate Polish temperatures below seasonal averages of 23–25°C. Traders have concentrated implied probability on 21°C as the mode outcome, with 22°C close behind, reflecting minor ensemble spread and the narrow window before resolution. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these odds ahead of the market close.