Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 14?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 14?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 14?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 14?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 14?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 14?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest forecasts from European meteorological models position a daytime high near 26°C as the most probable outcome for Warsaw on August 14, with mostly sunny conditions, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting modest warming. This aligns with late-summer climatology where average August maxima hover around 23–25°C, though recent model runs show slightly elevated readings due to stable high pressure and dry air advection. Trader consensus on 26°C (55% implied probability) reflects high confidence in short-range guidance, while the secondary 27°C outcome (22.5%) accounts for potential model spread or localized urban heat effects. Upcoming National Meteorological Institute updates and real-time observations will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.