Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or below on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 13?>99¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or higher on August 13?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, 2026, under stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds limiting warm-air advection and daytime heating. This aligns with late-summer climatological norms of 23–25°C and recent short-range model runs showing modest temperatures without significant anomalies. The overwhelming market-implied probability for exactly 23°C reflects this consensus backed by real capital at risk. Realistically, only substantial revisions in observational data from official stations or unexpected local microclimate effects could shift the outcome, though such changes remain improbable given current atmospheric stability.