- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on August 24?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on August 24?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on August 24?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 24?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on August 24?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high near 20°C for Toronto on August 24 amid persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and west winds gusting to 40 km/h. These conditions stem from a frontal passage and ongoing unsettled pattern following locally heavy rainfall on August 23, which has suppressed daytime heating below the late-August climatological average of roughly 25°C. Trader consensus around the 19–20°C band reflects model agreement on limited solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture, while small probability spreads to 18°C or 21°C capture uncertainty in exact precipitation timing, wind-driven mixing, and any brief afternoon breaks in cloud. Updated regional guidance and hourly observations will refine the peak reading before market resolution.