- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on September 8?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 8?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 8?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 8?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 8?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high near 29°C for Tokyo on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southerly flow associated with a frontal system that delivered heavy rain the prior day. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer late-summer patterns, keeping maxima in the 27–30°C range across ensemble guidance, with hourly peaks sensitive to the timing and intensity of showers. High humidity and modest winds further moderate surface temperatures, aligning with historical September variability where rain suppresses extremes. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 28–30°C because small shifts in precipitation timing or model bias could tip the daily maximum across those thresholds, with limited upside risk above 31°C under the current setup.