- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on September 2?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 2?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 2?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on September 2?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on September 2?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international agencies indicate a daily maximum of 31–32°C for Tokyo on September 2, driven by lingering high-pressure influences that sustain warm, humid air masses typical of early September. Historical climatology shows early-month averages near 30°C, with 2026 conditions reflecting residual summer heat before a gradual seasonal decline. Low precipitation probabilities and southeasterly winds support modest daytime warming, though increased cloud cover could limit peaks. These dynamics align with market-implied odds clustering at 31°C and 32°C, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus amid inherent short-range forecast variability.