- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or below on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 27?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 27?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 27?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 27?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 27?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 27?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 27?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on August 27?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a high of 31–33°C for Tokyo on August 27 under cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms, which cap daytime heating compared to the recent 35°C peak on August 25. Trader consensus centers near 30–32°C because precipitation timing, cloud cover, and southeasterly flow introduce variability that can shave several degrees from maximum readings. Higher outcomes above 34°C require clearer conditions and stronger insolation, while sub-29°C readings would need earlier or heavier rain; updated model runs and JMA briefings expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.