- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 21?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 21?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 21?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 21?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C or higher on August 21?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 21 indicate cloudy skies with scattered showers, projecting a daily maximum near 32°C in Tokyo amid typical late-summer humidity and light winds. This cloud cover limits peak solar heating compared to clearer days, keeping the implied probability highest for 31°C while supporting nearby outcomes at 30°C and 32°C. Late August climatology shows average highs of 31–33°C, but variable moisture and frontal influences introduce modest uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus heavily, with resolution hinging on official Tokyo station readings.