- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 20?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 20?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 20?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 20?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 20?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 20?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on August 20?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate mostly cloudy skies and possible showers for Tokyo on August 20, supporting a maximum around 33°C amid typical mid-August humidity and urban heat retention. Model consensus highlights increased cloud cover limiting solar heating and daytime peaks, positioning 31–32°C as the most likely outcomes under current steering patterns and moisture levels. These align with historical baselines of 31–33°C highs while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from evolving conditions. Traders emphasize these ranges due to the moderating influence of precipitation chances, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside recent observational trends.