Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 17?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 17?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 17?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 17?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 17?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 17?14¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs position Tokyo’s August 17 maximum near 30°C as the most probable outcome, aligning with the 43.5% market-implied probability. Persistent Pacific high pressure maintains typical mid-August warmth across the Kanto plain, while urban heat-island effects and high humidity amplify daytime peaks without strong frontal influences. Historical climatology places normal highs around 31°C, yet current short-range guidance favors slightly cooler readings amid stable steering patterns and limited day-to-day variability. Updated JMA briefings and high-resolution model consensus expected within the next 24 hours represent the primary data releases that could shift trader positioning across the narrow 29–31°C bands.