- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 8?74¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 8?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 8?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 8?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 40°C or higher on September 8?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service point to a daily maximum of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 8, driven by clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and typical late-summer subsidence that limits cloud cover and allows strong solar heating. This aligns with climatological norms for early September, when highs average near 29–31°C but can reach 33°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Current observations show temperatures climbing steadily from overnight lows around 24–26°C, with minimal moisture and no frontal systems expected to moderate readings. Market-implied odds heavily favor 33°C as the resolution threshold, reflecting trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns ahead of the final official measurement.