- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 6?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 6?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 6?53¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 6?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 6?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from sources including the Israeli Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate seasonal conditions for Tel Aviv on September 6, with daytime highs most likely reaching 30–32°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and low humidity. This consensus drives the market's strong tilt toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes, as historical September averages hover near 29°C while current runs show modest warming potential without extreme heat. Minor model spread around peak timing and coastal effects creates the near-even split between the two leaders, with lower probabilities assigned to 30°C or 33°C+ reflecting lower likelihood under stable atmospheric patterns. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these implied odds.