This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources including ECMWF-influenced outlooks and local agencies points to a peak temperature of 31–33 °C in Tel Aviv on September 2, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light northwest winds, and minimal cloud cover typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Most forecasts cluster near 31–32 °C with dry air and dew points in the low 20s, aligning with the 29.9 °C early-September climatological average while showing modest warming from recent days. Hourly data indicate afternoon maxima around 31 °C with brief feels-like readings slightly higher due to insolation, but no heatwave signals or model divergence toward 34 °C+ or sub-30 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weight the tight cluster of 32–33 °C solutions most heavily given stable guidance and proximity to resolution.