- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 28?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 28?67¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 28?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market-implied odds favor 33°C as the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 28, reflecting strong trader consensus around official forecast guidance. Israeli Meteorological Service and international models (including GFS and ECMWF analogs) project a daytime high of 30–32°C under partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds near 8–13 km/h, and moderate humidity levels, with afternoon peaks typically occurring between 1–4 PM local time. Recent observational data from Ben Gurion Airport and Tel Aviv stations show conditions tracking slightly above seasonal averages without extreme heat indices or incoming fronts that would push readings higher. Forecast uncertainty remains modest given the short time horizon, though minor model revisions overnight could shift exact peak values within the 32–34°C range. Traders appear to weight the 33°C outcome most heavily based on the tight clustering of current guidance.