- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 25?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 25?58¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 25?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate mostly sunny conditions and light winds over Tel Aviv on August 25, 2026, favoring peak temperatures near 32–34 °C under typical late-summer high-pressure dominance and strong insolation. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33 °C (58 % implied probability) and 34 °C (25 %), reflecting consensus model guidance rather than extreme anomalies. Historical August averages of 30–32 °C provide context, while the absence of anomalous heat advection or cloud cover in the latest runs keeps lower outcomes (≤32 °C) at modest probabilities. Updated model outputs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before official observations determine resolution.