- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 24?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 24?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 24?57¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 24?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest short-term forecasts from regional models show Tel Aviv peaking near 31–32°C on August 24 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly winds of 10–15 km/h, consistent with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Sea breezes and high pressure maintain stability without Saharan intrusions or frontal systems, aligning closely with August climatological averages of 31–32°C. Minor model spread around the exact maximum, combined with urban heat-island influences, supports the market’s concentration on 32–33°C outcomes while keeping lower or higher extremes at negligible implied probabilities. Updated guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles remains the key near-term driver ahead of daily observations.