Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 17?42¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 17?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 17?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 17?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 17?6¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest model guidance from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature of 31–32 °C in Tel Aviv on August 17, underpinning the near-even market-implied odds of 49.5 % for 32 °C and 41.5 % for 31 °C. Coastal sea-breeze effects and modest onshore flow typically cap afternoon peaks near the long-term August average of 30–31 °C, while any weakening of the breeze or subtle warm-air advection could push readings to 32 °C. Short-range forecast uncertainty remains modest, with ensemble spreads of roughly 1 °C and minimal precipitation expected, keeping lower or higher outcomes at single-digit probabilities.