Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 16?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 16?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 16?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 16?70¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, show a consensus for peak daytime temperatures of 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light westerly winds typical of the region's Mediterranean summer climate. Multiple models, including those from the Met Office and AccuWeather, indicate highs near 32–33°C with minimal precipitation risk and moderate humidity, consistent with August climatology where daily maxima average around 30–32°C. This positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 69.5% implied probability, followed by 32°C, while lower or higher extremes remain unlikely without unexpected shifts in steering patterns or model revisions ahead of the resolution window. Traders weigh these forecasts against historical baselines, noting the narrow uncertainty range for short-term summer predictions.