Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 15?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?72¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 15?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 15?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 40°C or higher on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Stable high-pressure systems and clear subtropical conditions over the eastern Mediterranean are positioning Tel Aviv for a typical mid-August maximum near 32–33°C on August 15, consistent with Israel Meteorological Service and Met Office guidance showing sunny skies, light winds, and limited marine moderation. These factors favor strong daytime solar heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity to suppress temperatures. Recent model runs align closely with climatological norms of 30–32°C highs, supporting the market’s strong implied probability on 33°C while leaving modest room for 34°C if heating exceeds expectations. Updated forecasts and any last-minute synoptic shifts will provide the next key data points before resolution.