- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 8?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 8?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 8?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on September 8?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C or below on September 8?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 8?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C or higher on September 8?1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate a modest warming trend for Taipei on September 8, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subsidence associated with a weakening monsoon trough and reduced cloud cover during peak heating hours support this range, consistent with climatological norms for early September when daytime highs average around 30–31°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, though variable boundary-layer moisture and isolated drizzle could cap the peak slightly lower in some runs. Market-implied odds favoring 32°C and 31°C align with this consensus, while lower probabilities for 33°C+ or sub-30°C outcomes reflect the narrow uncertainty band ahead of final observational data from local stations.