This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover and widespread rainfall expected across Taipei on September 3 will limit solar insolation and suppress maximum temperatures below the seasonal 30°C average. Forecast models from agencies like the Central Weather Administration show 85–100% precipitation chances with totals exceeding 15–30 mm, driven by easterly flow and high humidity near 90%, which enhances evaporative cooling and reduces surface heating. This setup favors 29–31°C outcomes, where slight differences hinge on the timing of heaviest showers and any brief breaks in cloudiness. Recent observations from September 2, with highs near 32°C under partly cloudy skies, contrast with the incoming system, heightening uncertainty in short-term model runs and explaining the tight clustering around these three bins in trader consensus.