This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for September 1 indicate widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms across Taipei, with official guidance from Taiwan’s Central Weather Bureau projecting a daytime high range of 26–32°C amid easterly flow and high humidity near 80–94%. This setup reduces incoming solar radiation and promotes evaporative cooling, capping peak temperatures near 29–32°C according to multiple sources including WeatherBug (89°F/31.7°C) and others showing 29°C highs with 13–52 mm of rain expected. Trader consensus clusters on 31–33°C outcomes because these align with ensemble guidance balancing residual summer heat against convective suppression, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clearing skies. Historical early-September averages near 30°C provide context, yet short-term model runs highlight sensitivity to exact timing and intensity of showers.