- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 28?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 28?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 28?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on August 28?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 28?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 28?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?17¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest Central Weather Bureau guidance points to a Taipei high of 34–35°C on August 28 under mostly cloudy skies with brief afternoon showers, keeping market-implied odds clustered tightly around 35–36°C. Persistent high humidity near 70–80% limits evaporative cooling while urban heat-island effects in the Taipei basin can add 1–2°C above regional model output during peak insolation hours. Short-term forecast spread arises mainly from timing and coverage of convective clouds, which reduce surface heating if they develop early or allow brief clear spells that push readings toward 37°C. Traders weigh these variables against climatological August maxima near 32–33°C and the low probability of exceeding 38°C given widespread moisture.