- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 23?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 23?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 23?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 23?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 23?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 23?9¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign the tightest probabilities to 31–33°C for Taipei’s August 23 high because official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and ensemble guidance show a typical late-summer regime of partly cloudy skies, high humidity, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These convective cells, driven by daytime heating and the subtropical ridge, can develop quickly and limit peak temperatures through cloud cover and evaporative cooling, keeping readings near 31–32°C. Clearer periods or delayed storms would allow boundary-layer warming to push the maximum to 33°C, while stronger or earlier rainfall favors 30–31°C. Historical Central Weather Administration data for late August cluster around this narrow range, and the absence of tropical systems leaves only modest model spread, sustaining the balanced market-implied odds.