This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Taipei's peak temperature on August 19 centers on the 32–34°C range, with 33°C holding the highest implied probability at 40.5%. Official Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate partly cloudy skies with occasional showers or thunderstorms and daytime highs of 27–35°C, while extended models from sources like timeanddate project around 33°C amid isolated storms. Persistent southwesterly monsoon flows and a broad low-pressure system are driving increased cloud cover and moisture, which historically moderates afternoon peaks below seasonal averages near 33–34°C. These conditions, typical of mid-August patterns in northern Taiwan, reduce the likelihood of extreme heat exceeding 35°C while supporting the current clustering around typical urban heat island-influenced values. Updated model runs and any typhoon developments could shift probabilities before resolution.