Highest temperature in Taipei on August 14?
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C or below on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 14?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 14?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 14?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 14?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 14?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 14?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and supporting models point to a daytime high near 36°C in Taipei on August 14, driven by strong subtropical summer insolation, urban heat island effects, and light steering winds that favor daytime heating before typical afternoon thundershowers develop. These convective clouds and associated rain often moderate peak temperatures by increasing albedo and evaporative cooling, helping explain why the market-implied probability concentrates on 35–36°C while assigning lower weight to extremes above 37°C. Seasonal climatology shows August maxima averaging 32–33°C, so the current outlook reflects modestly above-normal conditions without major typhoon influence or significant model divergence at this short range. Updated CWA guidance and observational verification tomorrow will determine final resolution.