This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on 33°C or 34°C as Singapore’s September 7 daily maximum because official Meteorological Service Singapore guidance and short-range models under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions consistently project highs of 33–35°C. Dry, occasionally windy southeasterly flow favors clear to partly cloudy skies with only isolated late-day showers unlikely to cap afternoon peaks. Historical September baselines sit near 31–32°C, yet the current dry spell and regional subsidence have supported recent readings in the upper 30s °C range, aligning with the 69 % and 22.5 % implied probabilities. Updated Numerical Weather Prediction runs and any revisions to the fortnight outlook expected in the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.