- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 1?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 1?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 1?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 1?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 38°C or higher on September 1?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current short-range forecasts from models including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 32–33°C on September 1, driven by southeasterly monsoon flow, partly cloudy skies, and modest afternoon insolation over Singapore’s urban heat island. Historical September climatology from the Meteorological Service Singapore shows an average daily maximum of 31.6°C, with occasional 34–35°C readings possible under clearer conditions, while scattered thunderstorms—forecast at 30–50% probability—typically cap extremes by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus favoring 33°C at 59% implied probability aligns with these model outputs and recent late-August cooling trends, though minor shifts in convective timing or wind speed could still nudge the official recorded high one degree either way before resolution.