This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Singapore's highest temperature on August 31 is expected to fall in the narrow 32–33°C range under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, which favor localized afternoon thundery showers that often limit peak heating through increased cloud cover and brief rainfall. Official outlooks from Singapore's weather service indicate daily maxima typically between 33–34°C during the latter half of August, with recent observations showing frequent 33°C+ readings and occasional spikes near 35°C earlier in the month. Model consensus for the 31st points to highs near 32°C amid 40–70% storm chances and light precipitation, tempering the potential for 34°C or higher while making sub-32°C outcomes less likely given elevated humidity and baseline warmth. This scientific context aligns with the market's strong clustering on 32°C (43.5%) and 33°C (53.5%), reflecting trader assessment of forecast uncertainty and typical resolution criteria tied to official station maxima. Updated model runs and the next meteorological briefing could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.