- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 30?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 30?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 30?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 30?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C or higher on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on a 31–33°C range for Singapore’s highest temperature on August 30, 2026, with 32°C as the clear favorite (46.5% implied probability). Short-term numerical weather models and official guidance point to daytime maxima near or slightly below the seasonal norm because of expected cloud cover and thundery showers. Singapore lies near the equator under prevailing southwest monsoon flow, which typically produces afternoon convective activity. Multiple forecasts issued August 29 show 70–95% rain chances and widespread thunderstorms, conditions that reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, thereby limiting peak temperatures. Current model consensus clusters the daily high between 30°C and 32°C, consistent with the market’s top two outcomes. A moderate El Niño event has elevated the broader seasonal baseline—Singapore recorded multiple days above 33°C earlier in August—but the immediate synoptic pattern favors localized cooling. Official fortnightly outlooks note that maxima in the 33–34°C band remain possible on drier days, yet the specific forecast for the 30th emphasizes higher precipitation likelihood, shifting the distribution downward. Updated model runs and Singapore Meteorological Service briefings on August 30 morning will be the next key data points that could move probabilities among the narrow 31–33°C window.