This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market-implied odds strongly favor 32–33°C as the highest temperature in Singapore on August 28, 2026, reflecting current forecast consensus and typical late-August conditions under Southwest Monsoon influence. Singapore’s equatorial tropical climate produces narrow daily temperature ranges, with official long-term August mean maximums near 31.4°C at Changi. Recent weeks have run above average, with multiple days exceeding 33°C and a peak of 34.9°C recorded mid-month, but the fortnight outlook from the Meteorological Service Singapore (covering 17–31 August) projects daily maxima mostly between 33–34°C, occasionally reaching 35°C amid localized thundery showers and below-average rainfall. Model guidance for the specific date centers on 31–33°C highs with partly cloudy skies, light southeast winds, and moderate humidity, limiting afternoon heating. These factors position 32°C and 33°C as the dominant outcomes, while probabilities for 34°C or higher remain low given the absence of strong subsidence or extreme insolation signals in the latest runs. New official updates from NEA/MSS on the morning of the 28th will provide the final resolution data.