- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 22?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 22?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22?60¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 22?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 38°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Singapore on August 22, 2026, centers on 33°C as the clear favorite (60% implied probability) because official forecasts and recent observations place the daily maximum squarely in the 32–34°C range under prevailing southwest monsoon conditions. The Singapore Meteorological Service’s fortnightly outlook for 17–31 August explicitly states that daily maxima are likely to reach 33–34°C on most days, with occasional peaks to 35°C, consistent with the dry, occasionally windy pattern and below-average rainfall expected. Early August data reinforce this baseline, with maxima exceeding 33°C on nearly every day and a recorded high of 34.9°C at Pulau Ubin on 14 August. Multiple numerical weather models and short-range forecasts for 22 August converge on afternoon highs near 32–33°C (roughly 90–92°F), driven by typical monsoon steering, moderate southeasterly winds, and limited cloud cover that allows strong daytime heating without widespread convective cooling. Scientific context further supports the narrow distribution: Singapore’s climatological August mean daily maximum is 31.4°C, but the current monsoon regime has sustained elevated temperatures several degrees above that norm. With no tropical disturbances, major rainfall events, or significant aerosol loading forecast to alter the energy balance in the next 24–48 hours, the probability mass remains concentrated around 33°C. Lower-probability outcomes (34°C at 17%, 35°C at 2.5%) reflect the small but non-zero chance of localized clear-sky intensification, while cooler results stay at single-digit odds given the established warm anomaly. Updated model runs and any late-afternoon observations on 21 August will provide the final inputs before resolution.