- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 24°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 2?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 2?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 2?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 2?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on September 2?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 2?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from multiple sources converge on a September 2 high near 30–31°C for Shenzhen amid ongoing monsoon-season cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds that limit daytime heating. Persistent overcast skies and high humidity (often above 80%) reduce solar insolation compared with clearer late-summer days, keeping maxima below the month’s typical 32°C climatological average. Recent observations show light rain and drizzle suppressing afternoon peaks, with slight model spread arising from timing of convective cells and boundary-layer moisture. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probability to 30°C, reflecting the narrow but genuine uncertainty between 29°C and 31°C outcomes ahead of final observational data.