- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 28?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 28?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 28?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 28?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 28?7¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies and models indicate Shenzhen's August 28 high will likely fall in the 31–33°C range amid lingering monsoon moisture and scattered thunderstorms, with partial cloud cover moderating peak solar heating while warm, humid air masses sustain warmth. Recent heavy rainfall through August 27 has elevated soil moisture and increased latent heat release, supporting model consensus for modest daytime maxima near 32°C rather than extreme heat. Trader emphasis on these outcomes reflects alignment with official guidance showing diminishing but persistent rain, consistent with typical late-August subtropical patterns where afternoon convection caps temperatures below seasonal peaks near 34°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 27 will refine resolution criteria.