- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 24?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 24?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 24?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 24?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 24?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 24?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 24?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC place Shenzhen’s August 24 maximum near 30–31 °C amid scattered thundery showers, aligning with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, high humidity above 75 %, and afternoon convective clouds introduce variability that can suppress or briefly elevate peaks by 1–2 °C depending on timing and coverage of precipitation. Historical August averages near 32 °C provide context, yet current model runs reflect typical late-summer uncertainty from steering flows and moisture. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine these odds as resolution approaches.