- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 23?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 23?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 23?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 23?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 23?29¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 23?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 23?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 23?1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a high of 30–33°C on August 23 amid subtropical summer conditions, with scattered thunderstorms and moderate rainfall expected to moderate peak readings through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation. Subtropical monsoon influences, high humidity near 80–90%, and light southerly winds limit daytime heating while favoring convective development that caps temperatures below seasonal norms around 32°C. Model runs show minor spread due to timing of showers, supporting the market’s near-even split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes as traders price in precipitation-driven variability over historical August averages. Updated guidance from regional meteorological services could refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.