- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 21?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 21?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 21?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on August 21?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 21?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 21?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 21?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 21?20¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models highlight persistent cloud cover and scattered thundery showers expected over Shenzhen on August 21 amid peak East Asian summer monsoon conditions, which limit afternoon solar heating and keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 30–32°C. High humidity levels near 80% and typical subtropical instability favor convective activity that caps extreme highs, aligning with historical August averages of 30–32°C. The narrow spread in market-implied odds around these values reflects uncertainty in shower timing and exact cloud thickness rather than any major synoptic shift, with official guidance pointing to overcast skies and isolated storms as the dominant factors moderating the daily peak.