- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 20?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on August 20?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 20?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 20?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 20?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 20?18¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 20?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory and international models converge on a daytime maximum near 32°C for August 20, 2026, under typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions. High humidity combined with scattered afternoon convection and thundery showers increases cloud cover, which limits peak solar heating while enhancing evaporative cooling and capping temperatures in the 31–33°C range. Historical August averages near 32°C, with frequent daily maxima of 32–34°C interrupted by storms, align with the market’s emphasis on 32°C as the leading outcome at 37%. Modest model variability in shower timing sustains smaller probabilities for adjacent values like 31°C and 33°C, while rendering extremes below 30°C or above 35°C unlikely ahead of official station resolution.