Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 16?
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 16?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 16?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 16?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 16?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 16?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 16?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 16?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 16?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 16?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a Shenzhen daily maximum of 33–34°C for August 16, 2026, amid persistent subtropical monsoon flow, elevated humidity, and scattered thunderstorm activity that caps solar heating. Typical August baselines near 32°C, combined with expected cloud cover and evaporative cooling from afternoon showers, make extremes above 35°C or below 32°C less likely. Recent model runs show stable steering patterns with weak winds, while thunderstorm frequency has increased since August 14, moderating peaks relative to earlier heat. These dynamics underpin the market-implied odds favoring the 33°C and 34°C brackets as traders weigh forecast consensus against residual uncertainty in precipitation timing and intensity.