Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 15?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 15?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 15?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 15?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 15?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 15?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 15?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 15?14¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts for Shenzhen on August 15 point to daytime maxima near 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with isolated showers, reflecting typical late-summer monsoon conditions in the Pearl River Delta. Model consensus from agencies such as the Met Office and timeanddate shows modest day-to-day variability driven by the extent of afternoon cloud cover and any convective activity, which can suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C through reduced solar insolation. Historical August climatology places average highs around 32°C, with urban heat-island effects and high humidity (often >75%) amplifying perceived warmth but having limited direct impact on measured maxima. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 32°C and 33°C captures genuine forecast uncertainty over the precise timing and coverage of showers, with updates from numerical weather prediction runs expected to refine these probabilities ahead of the observation window.