- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 25?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 25?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 25?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model runs from agencies including the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau and international ensembles show Shanghai under a stable subtropical high with partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow on August 25, supporting peak temperatures centered on 31–32 °C. High humidity near 75–80 % and modest afternoon cloud cover or isolated drizzle are the key variables that could cap readings at 31 °C versus allowing brief clearing to reach 32 °C, explaining the near-even market split. Seasonal East Asian monsoon patterns and the absence of stronger typhoon steering keep the outlook anchored in this narrow range, with historical August maxima typically 31–33 °C providing climatological context. Updated short-range guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will refine the exact thermal peak.