- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 20?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 20?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 20?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from global ensembles and the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature near 31°C on August 20 as the most probable outcome, with 32°C and 30°C as close alternatives. This positioning reflects typical mid-August subtropical conditions in Shanghai, where daytime highs average 30–32°C amid high humidity and weak steering flow that limits rapid changes. Recent observational data show persistent heat across eastern China, with multiple consecutive days above 30°C supporting the clustered probabilities around the climatological norm. Model consensus remains stable ahead of the next update cycles, though minor shifts could occur with revised boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns; traders monitor these for adjustments in the 30–32°C range.