Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 15?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 15?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 15?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 15?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 15?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 15?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on August 15?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts positions Shanghai's August 15 maximum near 29–30°C, reflecting suppressed heating from persistent East China Sea moisture and increased cloud cover that limited the August 11 high to 29°C, about 2°C below the mid-August climatological average of 30.8°C. Subtropical monsoon circulation and ongoing El Niño strengthening favor this pattern of moderated peaks rather than intense clear-sky heating. Short-term ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability through the weekend, keeping probabilities concentrated on the 29°C and 30°C brackets while assigning low odds to extremes above 32°C or below 28°C absent an unexpected shift in steering flow or rainfall timing.