- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 2?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 2?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 2?24¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 2?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 2?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 2?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C or higher on September 2?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from agencies and services including the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature of 27–28°C for Incheon on September 2, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and scattered light rain that limit daytime heating. This follows a period of late-summer warmth, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (40%) to 28°C and strong support (27.5%) to 29°C as the most likely outcomes under current steering patterns and humidity levels. Historical September averages near 26°C and model consensus on modest intensification potential reinforce the market's focus on these thresholds ahead of final observational data.