- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C or below on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 28?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 28?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 28?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 28?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 28?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 28?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 28?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C or higher on August 28?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Consensus forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and international models place the August 28 maximum at Incheon/Seoul near 29–31 °C under mostly cloudy skies with a 40–70 % chance of showers or thunderstorms. These conditions, driven by typical late-summer East Asian monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, limit intense solar heating while supporting afternoon convection that can cap daytime peaks. Official guidance lists a 25–31 °C range, with ensemble and regional model runs clustering around 30 °C; any heavier rainfall or thicker cloud cover could suppress readings toward 29 °C, while clearer breaks would favor 31 °C. Market-implied odds align with this narrow band of outcomes, reflecting real-time model consensus and the inherent uncertainty in precipitation timing.