- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 25?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 25?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 25?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 25?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 25?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a mostly cloudy regime with light winds and moderate humidity across the Seoul-Incheon region on August 25, keeping peak readings near the climatological late-August norm of 30–32 °C. Coastal Incheon’s marine influence and expected afternoon cloud cover are the key variables traders weigh against inland Seoul maxima; slight shifts in insolation or boundary-layer mixing could differentiate a 30 °C versus 31 °C outcome. With 30 °C and 31 °C together commanding over 75 % of market-implied probability, the tight spread reflects genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 24-hour window rather than strong consensus on any single threshold.