- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 84°F or higher on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 65°F or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on August 23?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 23?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 23?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 23?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 23?10¢
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 23?2¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus currently favor a Seattle high of 74–75°F on August 23, driven by gradual morning marine-layer stratus clearance under light southwesterly flow that caps daytime heating while suppressing stronger offshore warming. This pattern aligns with typical late-August Pacific Northwest climatology, where the marine layer and dew-point recovery limit peaks near or slightly below the 77°F seasonal normal. Persistent low clouds or any earlier northwesterly shift could favor 72–73°F instead. Recent model runs show tight agreement around these thresholds, supporting the market’s strong implied probability for the 72–75°F range amid modest uncertainty from afternoon solar insolation and boundary-layer moisture.