- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on August 20?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on August 20?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 20?73¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 20?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on August 20?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 36°C or higher on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 20?2¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies like AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate a high near 31–32°C in São Paulo on August 20 under hazy sunshine and light winds, aligning with trader emphasis on those outcomes amid typical August subtropical winter averages of 23–25°C. Clear skies and minimal cloud cover allow strong daytime solar heating without the cooling influence of recent cold fronts or rain, while low humidity supports warmer maxima than historical norms. Model consensus shows limited variability, with no strong signals for either significant warming to 33°C+ or cooling below 31°C before peak afternoon temperatures. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow range, as traders weigh official guidance against potential late-day adjustments in steering patterns or urban heat effects.