- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 26?22¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on August 26?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 26?23¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on August 26?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 26?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 26?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 26 project a high near 76°F under clearing skies and light southwest winds, aligning closely with the market's heaviest concentration of probability on the 74–79°F range. Persistent marine layer influence and typical August onshore flow continue to moderate temperatures along the immediate coast, limiting upside despite broader regional warming signals. Recent model runs show limited spread between the GFS and ECMWF, with no strong high-pressure setup that would allow significant inland heat advection. Traders appear to weigh these stable conditions against minor forecast revisions possible overnight, keeping 76–77°F as the consensus outcome while assigning meaningful weight to adjacent bins reflecting inherent short-term uncertainty in coastal boundary-layer mixing.